GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Gorzów · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Warta Gorzów 0-2 Kluczbork

Original prediction

Warta Gorzów

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2140.9%40.2%-0.7 pts
Draw3.3726.8%28.7%1.9 pts
Away2.8032.3%31.1%-1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Warta Gorzów

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Warta Gorzów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Warta GorzówLLDDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KluczborkWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta GorzówKluczbork
33.3Attack33.3
48.5Defence43.3
42.4Form40.0
44.2Power42.2
1.23xG0.94
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