Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Warriors are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shatin have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Warriors hold a 36.1-point power-rating edge (86.2 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Premier League, while Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Warriors
Probability
83.2%
Model confidence
11.5%
Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00