Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Warriors are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rangers are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Warriors hold a 39.3-point power-rating edge (86.2 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the Premier League, while Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Warriors
Probability
80.4%
Model confidence
80.4%
Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.50/1.75