Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Warriors are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Kitchee are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 5.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Warriors hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (86.2 v 78.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Premier League, while Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Warriors
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67
GF 11 · GA 0 · avg 5.50/0.00