Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warriors · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Warriors are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while HK U23 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warriors hold a 70.0-point power-rating edge (86.2 v 16.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 94.1% in the Premier League, while Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Warriors
Probability
94.1%
Model confidence
94.1%
Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.50
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/2.33