Warriorsvs
Eastern District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warriors 2-1 Eastern District
Original prediction
Warriors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 72.5% | 59.8% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.32 | 17.1% | 20.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 8.75 | 10.4% | 19.2% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Warriors
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00