Warrenpoint Townvs
Strabane Athletic
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warrenpoint Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Strabane Athletic
Original prediction
Warrenpoint Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 24.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.7% | 22.6% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Warrenpoint Town
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Warrenpoint Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80