Warrenpoint Townvs
Annagh United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annagh United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warrenpoint Town 1-1 Annagh United
Original prediction
Annagh United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.2% | 30.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 23.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.4% | 45.5% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Annagh United
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Annagh United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80