GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Wanderers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.6% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

19.6%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WanderersLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Racing MontevideoWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WanderersRacing Montevideo
41.7Attack42.0
58.3Defence72.5
52.8Form60.9
52.4Power60.6
0.72xG0.98
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