Wanderersvs
Deportivo Maldonado
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wanderers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00