Wanderersvs
Defensor Sporting
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/13/2023, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Wanderers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wanderers hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40