WanderersvsDefensor Sporting

Wanderers are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wanderers hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.