GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/22/2026, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wanderers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WanderersWDWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico TorqueDLDLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WanderersAtletico Torque
41.7Attack50.0
58.3Defence59.1
52.8Form53.0
52.4Power55.5
1.09xG1.15
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