GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walton & Hersham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Walton & Hersham are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Walton & Hersham hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Walton & Hersham holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walton & Hersham

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Walton & Hersham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Walton & HershamWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Swindon SupermarineLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Walton & HershamSwindon Supermarine
61.9Attack57.9
46.8Defence27.0
51.6Form38.9
54.3Power42.8
3.04xG1.65
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