Walton & Hershamvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/17/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Walton & Hersham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00