GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/17/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Walton & Hersham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Walton & HershamWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownWWDWL

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Walton & HershamMerthyr Town
61.9Attack67.5
46.8Defence53.2
51.6Form53.2
54.3Power57.2
1.87xG2.00
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