GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Walton & Hersham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Walton & HershamLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Walton & HershamMerthyr Town
61.9Attack67.5
46.8Defence53.2
51.6Form53.2
54.3Power57.2
1.87xG2.00
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