Walton & Hershamvs
Horsham
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Horsham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walton & Hersham 0-3 Horsham
Original prediction
Horsham
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.91 | 23.2% | 30.0% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.3% | 25.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.5% | 44.3% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Horsham
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Horsham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Walton & HershamDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HorshamLDDLW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Walton & HershamHorsham
33.3Attack55.6
0.0Defence48.1
0.0Form55.6
15.3Power54.4
1.54xG1.95