GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/21/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walton & Hersham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Walton & Hersham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hendon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Walton & Hersham hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Walton & Hersham holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walton & Hersham

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Walton & Hersham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Walton & HershamLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HendonWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Walton & HershamHendon
61.9Attack55.6
46.8Defence48.4
51.6Form46.0
54.3Power51.9
2.10xG1.62
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