Walton & Hershamvs
Ebbsfleet United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walton & Hersham 0-2 Ebbsfleet United
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.6% | 17.8% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.4% | 21.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 52.0% | 60.6% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60