Walton & Hershamvs
Dorking Wanderers
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorking Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walton & Hersham 1-4 Dorking Wanderers
Original prediction
Dorking Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.42 | 20.5% | 24.2% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.0% | 50.9% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Dorking Wanderers
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Dorking Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00