GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walthamstow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Walthamstow are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Leverstock Green are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leverstock Green hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the FA Trophy, while Walthamstow holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walthamstow

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

11.4%

Walthamstow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WalthamstowLWWLD

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Leverstock GreenLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
WalthamstowLeverstock Green
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power53.0
1.71xG1.54
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