GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walsall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Walsall are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shrewsbury are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shrewsbury hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Walsall holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walsall

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WalsallDDWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ShrewsburyLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
WalsallShrewsbury
55.6Attack33.3
22.2Defence44.4
11.1Form44.4
32.9Power43.8
1.82xG1.68
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