Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Walsall are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Reading are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80