GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walsall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Walsall are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Northampton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Walsall hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Walsall holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walsall

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WalsallWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NorthamptonDWWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
WalsallNorthampton
55.6Attack55.6
22.2Defence11.1
11.1Form11.1
32.9Power29.5
2.27xG1.82
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