GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/17/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fulham U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Walsall are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham U21 hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Fulham U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fulham U21

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Fulham U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WalsallWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Fulham U21WLWDD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WalsallFulham U21
55.6Attack66.7
22.2Defence33.3
11.1Form41.7
32.9Power50.3
1.96xG2.11
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