Walsallvs
Chelsea U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walsall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Walsall are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chelsea U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Walsall hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 18.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Walsall holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Walsall
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40