GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/22/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Walsall are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Brighton U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton U21 hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Brighton U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brighton U21

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WalsallDLWLL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Brighton U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
WalsallBrighton U21
55.6Attack44.4
22.2Defence66.7
11.1Form50.0
32.9Power53.7
1.36xG1.75
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