Wals-Grünauvs
Pinzgau Saalfelden
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - North · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wals-Grünau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wals-Grünau 2-1 Pinzgau Saalfelden
Original prediction
Wals-Grünau
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.3% | 65.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.92 | 18.4% | 17.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 6.35 | 14.3% | 17.0% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Wals-Grünau
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Wals-Grünau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00