GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 8/4/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wallsend Red Devils · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Wallsend Red Devils are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Wallsend Red Devils hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.2% in the NNSW League 1, while Wallsend Red Devils holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wallsend Red Devils

Probability

81.2%

Model confidence

81.2%

Wallsend Red Devils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wallsend Red DevilsLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 24 · avg 0.60/4.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Thornton RedbacksWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wallsend Red DevilsThornton Redbacks
100.0Attack52.2
51.9Defence26.1
74.1Form36.2
73.5Power39.1
4.50xG1.30
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