Wallern / Marienkirchenvs
Ried
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 9/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ried · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wallern / Marienkirchen 1-5 Ried
Original prediction
Ried
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.53 | 8.6% | 31.2% | 22.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 15.8% | 23.0% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 1.20 | 75.6% | 45.8% | -29.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Ried
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Ried has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Wallern / MarienkirchenLWWWD
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
RiedLWLLD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wallern / MarienkirchenRied
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
2.23xG2.09