Wales U21vs
Austria U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wales U21 1-7 Austria U21
Original prediction
Austria U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.95 | 23.1% | 20.6% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.5% | 23.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.4% | 55.9% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Austria U21
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Austria U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00