Wales U19vs
Norway U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norway U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wales U19 0-2 Norway U19
Original prediction
Norway U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 21.9% | 27.1% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.9% | 24.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.2% | 48.1% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Norway U19
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Norway U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40