UEFA U19 ChampionshipUEFA U19 Championship
Wednesday, 1 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Wales U19

Wales U19

Home
L
04
Full time
Germany U19

Germany U19

Away
WW
Racecourse Ground
GoalVio prediction
63% confidence
Germany U19(63%)
Most likely exact score0-2
Prediction correct— Result: Germany U19
Win probability
Wales U19
15%
Draw
22%
Germany U19
63%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wales U19
34
Germany U19
94
Defence
Wales U19
6
Germany U19
82
Momentum
Wales U19
0
Germany U19
100
Danger (xG)
Wales U19
0.90
Germany U19
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Wales U19)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Germany U19)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Wales U19)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Germany U19)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Wales U19Wales U19
LL
Germany U19Germany U19
WW

Probability breakdown

63% confidence
Wales U1915%
Draw22%
Germany U1963%

Germany U19 leads with 63% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Wales U19 head into this in UEFA U19 Championship fixture at Racecourse Ground in mixed form (L), while Germany U19 arrive in decent form (WW). Wales U19 have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Germany U19 over 2 games.

Tactically, Germany U19 hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Wales U19 defence (6/100), while Wales U19's attack faces a watertight Germany U19 backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Wales U19 have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per home match. Germany U19 have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Germany U19 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Germany U19 to win with 63% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-2. Win probabilities: Wales U19 1508%, Draw 2233%, Germany U19 6260%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Wales U19 0Draws 01 Germany U19
Avg goals: 4.0
1 Jul 2026
Wales U19
L04
Germany U19

Recent form

Wales U19

Wales U19

L
vs Germany U19
1 Jul 2026
04
L
@ Norway U19
8 Jun 2026
13
Germany U19

Germany U19

W
@ Ukraine U19
8 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Wales U19
1 Jul 2026
40

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wales U19 vs Germany U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Germany U19 to win with 63% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wales U19 vs Germany U19?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-2.

Will both teams score in Wales U19 vs Germany U19?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wales U19 vs Germany U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more