GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 9/20/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Waldhof Mannheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Waldhof Mannheim 2-0 Preußen Münster

Original prediction

Waldhof Mannheim

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0045.0%39.4%-5.7 pts
Draw3.5125.6%23.6%-2.0 pts
Away3.0729.3%37.0%7.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Waldhof Mannheim

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Waldhof Mannheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Waldhof MannheimLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Preußen MünsterDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Waldhof MannheimPreußen Münster
50.0Attack66.7
44.4Defence38.9
38.9Form61.1
47.4Power57.7
1.78xG1.85
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