Waldhof Mannheimvs
Hoffenheim II
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Waldhof Mannheim 4-1 Hoffenheim II
Original prediction
Hoffenheim II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.2% | 35.4% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.8% | 21.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.0% | 43.5% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hoffenheim II
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60