Waldhof Mannheimvs
FC Ingolstadt 04
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waldhof Mannheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Waldhof Mannheim 0-3 FC Ingolstadt 04
Original prediction
Waldhof Mannheim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.1% | 48.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.6% | 25.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.4% | 25.7% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Waldhof Mannheim
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Waldhof Mannheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40