GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/16/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Waldgirmes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaldgirmesDDLLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
WaldgirmesVfb Marburg
47.1Attack50.0
25.5Defence66.7
39.2Form66.7
39.6Power64.8
1.34xG2.38
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