GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/30/2025, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Waldgirmes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Friedberg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaldgirmesWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FriedbergWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WaldgirmesFriedberg
47.1Attack66.7
25.5Defence66.7
39.2Form77.8
39.6Power72.8
1.36xG2.69
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