GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/8/2025, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Waldgirmes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaldgirmesWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FriedbergDWDLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WaldgirmesFriedberg
47.1Attack66.7
25.5Defence66.7
39.2Form77.8
39.6Power72.8
1.36xG2.69
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