Waldgirmesvs
Friedberg
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/27/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Waldgirmes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00