GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Waldgirmes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaldgirmesDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldDDDLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WaldgirmesFernwald
47.1Attack41.7
25.5Defence58.3
39.2Form41.7
39.6Power48.8
1.51xG2.12
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