Waldgirmesvs
Fernwald
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waldgirmes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80