Waldgirmesvs
Fernwald
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/14/2024, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waldgirmes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fernwald are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20