GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/9/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Waldgirmes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Waldgirmes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Waldgirmes hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Waldgirmes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Waldgirmes

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Waldgirmes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaldgirmesLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeWLLLL

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WaldgirmesFC 1906 Erlensee
47.1Attack41.2
25.5Defence30.4
39.2Form26.5
39.6Power34.5
2.23xG1.71
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