GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Waldgirmes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Baunatal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Waldgirmes hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WaldgirmesLWDDL

GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WaldgirmesBaunatal
47.1Attack22.2
25.5Defence44.4
39.2Form11.1
39.6Power29.5
1.78xG1.90
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