GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 9/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wadi Degla · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wadi Degla 0-0 Olympic El Qanah

Original prediction

Wadi Degla

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2141.4%39.6%-1.8 pts
Draw2.8032.5%30.3%-2.2 pts
Away3.4926.1%30.0%3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Wadi Degla

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Wadi Degla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wadi DeglaWDWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olympic El QanahDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wadi DeglaOlympic El Qanah
50.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power64.8
1.18xG0.95
View match centre →