Wacker Innsbruckvs
Austria Salzburg
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wacker Innsbruck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wacker Innsbruck 0-1 Austria Salzburg
Original prediction
Wacker Innsbruck
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.5% | 44.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.4% | 24.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.2% | 31.8% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Wacker Innsbruck
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Wacker Innsbruck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60