Wacker Burghausenvs
Greuther Fürth II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wacker Burghausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wacker Burghausen 3-3 Greuther Fürth II
Original prediction
Wacker Burghausen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.7% | 46.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.5% | 26.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.9% | 27.4% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Wacker Burghausen
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Wacker Burghausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20