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Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:34
Wacker Burghausen

Wacker Burghausen

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D
11
Full time
Augsburg II

Augsburg II

Away
DW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Augsburg II33%
Wacker Burghausen33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Wacker Burghausen
33%
Draw
33%
Augsburg II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wacker Burghausen
34
Augsburg II
54
Defence
Wacker Burghausen
66
Augsburg II
66
Momentum
Wacker Burghausen
33
Augsburg II
67
Danger (xG)
Wacker Burghausen
0.90
Augsburg II
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.15 xG for Wacker Burghausen and 1.29 xG for Augsburg II — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Wacker Burghausen holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.44 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Wacker Burghausen's Defensive Stability (66) and Augsburg II's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Wacker Burghausen)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Augsburg II)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Wacker Burghausen)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Augsburg II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Wacker BurghausenWacker Burghausen
DL
Augsburg IIAugsburg II
DWL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Wacker Burghausen33%
Draw33%
Augsburg II33%

Augsburg II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Wacker Burghausen Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Wacker Burghausen host Augsburg II in Friendlies Clubs. Wacker Burghausen have recorded WLWLDW in recent matches while Augsburg II arrive with a run of DDDLDL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 2.8 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.15 for Wacker Burghausen and 1.29 for Augsburg II. The gap of 0.86 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Wacker Burghausen have been conceding 1.51 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 4 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Wacker Burghausen 0Draws 10 Augsburg II
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Wacker Burghausen
D11
Augsburg II

Recent form

Wacker Burghausen

Wacker Burghausen

D
vs Augsburg II
17 Jul 2026
11
L
@ SpVgg Unterhaching
16 May 2026
04
Augsburg II

Augsburg II

D
@ Wacker Burghausen
17 Jul 2026
11
W
@ SSV Ulm 1846
14 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Memmingen
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wacker Burghausen vs Augsburg II?

GoalVio's model predicts Wacker Burghausen to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wacker Burghausen vs Augsburg II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Wacker Burghausen vs Augsburg II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wacker Burghausen vs Augsburg II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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