GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 8/4/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wacker Burghausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wacker Burghausen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aubstadt are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wacker Burghausen hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (79.5 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Wacker Burghausen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wacker Burghausen

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Wacker Burghausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wacker BurghausenLDWDW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AubstadtWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Wacker BurghausenAubstadt
88.9Attack100.0
77.8Defence50.0
77.8Form66.7
79.5Power70.2
2.00xG1.32
View match centre →