Waasland-Beveren U21vs
RFC de Liege U21
COMPLETEDBelgium · Reserve Pro League · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waasland-Beveren U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Waasland-Beveren U21 6-0 RFC de Liege U21
Original prediction
Waasland-Beveren U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.2% | 50.0% | -28.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.96 | 13.1% | 22.8% | 9.7 pts |
| Away | 10.39 | 8.7% | 27.2% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Waasland-Beveren U21
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Waasland-Beveren U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 14 · avg 3.20/2.80
GF 2 · GA 21 · avg 0.40/4.20